Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.435657 6.337874 7.309518 8.429768 9.681623 11.033397 12.599251
2025-03-23 4.149780 5.365170 6.778241 8.526062 10.612449 13.005513 15.939150
2025-03-30 3.148227 4.499547 6.189095 8.417699 11.237808 14.644079 19.021598
2025-04-06 2.297710 3.639803 5.444747 7.978593 11.365365 15.653675 21.401265
2025-04-13 1.674696 2.945763 4.783754 7.523152 11.376381 16.468961 23.554284
2025-04-20 1.405916 2.703293 4.695978 7.812838 12.376361 18.609671 27.530045
2025-04-27 1.268836 2.635219 4.844221 8.440355 13.879561 21.506536 32.665782
2025-05-04 1.123033 2.519435 4.893573 8.909875 15.173708 24.173827 37.612659
2025-05-11 0.930212 2.275638 4.693590 8.956608 15.824013 25.945004 41.376916
2025-05-18 0.733369 1.975600 4.347139 8.715945 15.995102 27.005805 44.153906
2025-05-25 0.581500 1.727220 4.049396 8.512427 16.189710 28.087882 46.983598
2025-06-01 0.475089 1.549634 3.853127 8.455111 16.601468 29.500780 50.339972
2025-06-08 0.376397 1.364830 3.618997 8.314390 16.881939 30.756017 53.570041
2025-06-15 0.340328 1.332083 3.694883 8.760648 18.196723 33.709742 59.521684
2025-06-22 0.284699 1.227267 3.597564 8.860334 18.908229 35.724954 64.096870
2025-06-29 0.213973 1.048725 3.299879 8.523857 18.807841 36.401045 66.587485
2025-07-06 0.155371 0.879759 2.987521 8.112590 18.527362 36.748193 68.549758
2025-07-13 0.138537 0.854392 3.030358 8.462028 19.695609 39.591753 74.641005
2025-07-20 0.135704 0.884124 3.222691 9.156504 21.562519 43.701356 82.923053
2025-07-27 0.126463 0.883548 3.332415 9.673364 23.108791 47.306730 90.473708
2025-08-03 0.104687 0.816697 3.245970 9.732897 23.756237 49.362955 95.514252
2025-08-10 0.079259 0.715088 3.037279 9.481423 23.760849 50.276521 98.664011
2025-08-17 0.059934 0.629076 2.854500 9.267099 23.819239 51.277599 101.979194